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The case for gold to protect clients’ wealth shorting the Federal Reserve
“I’ve never let my guard down by saying, I do not need to be hedged” - Paul Singer
Preservation of clients’ wealth is the most important fiduciary duty guiding investment managers. This obligation is under-appreciated in the midst of financial asset bubbles when recency bias blunts the need to sacrifice potential gains in exchange for protection against losses. Inevitably, this is made painfully clear when a bubble pops and those once-popular assets lose value and the manager’s clientele suffer. As valuations are stretched on the back of reckless Federal Reserve monetary policy and poor economic fundamentals, caution is paramount.
This article presents the case for an asset that will help managers protect their clients and uphold their fiduciary duty owed to them. I’ll explain why gold is a powerful hedge that will protect your clients’ wealth, but first I’ll look at the history of trade and currencies and how gold evolved to become a global store of wealth.
Gold - ?g?ld AU #79 - A heavy yellow elemental metal of great value
Gold is neither a claim on the promise of future earnings like a stock, nor a liability owed by a public institution or a private party like a bond. It also lacks the full faith and credit of most governments that a currency has. Gold serves little industrial purpose, unlike all other commodities, and is most commonly revered as a shiny metal used in ornamental display or jewelry.
But it is precisely these failings that make gold a unique and valuable asset and one that can play an important role in portfolio construction.
Gold is one of the few stores of value that is limited in supply, transportable, globally appreciated and not contingent upon the faith and credit of any entity. It cannot be manufactured or debased. Gold is the only time-honored currency, or in the words of John Pierpont Morgan (J.P. Morgan), “Gold is money; everything else is credit.”
Thousands of years ago trade began through a system of barter. This method of payment was effective but very limiting. Trade could not occur unless both parties had the goods or services demanded by the other. If a metalsmith, for example, did not need wheat, a farmer seeking a new sickle would have to find alternative goods or services to offer the metalsmith.
These stark limitations and the growing desire to conduct trade with parties over greater distances required a more robust system. Accordingly, trade graduated from the barter system to that of a common currency. Aristotle stated the rationale for a common currency eloquently: “When the inhabitants of one country became more dependent on those of another, and they imported what they needed, and exported what they had too much of, money necessarily came into use.”
At first, in almost all cases, the currency was a commodity. While eliminating some of the problems associated with barter, this system presented new ones. Carrying gold or other commodities such as silver, grain, shells or livestock can be cumbersome and difficult to properly measure for weight and purity. Dividing most commodities into fractions for ease of exchange produced additional difficulties. Paying for an acre of land with a quarter of a cow m